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2011 Oscar Predictions!

Posted on 27 February 2011 by Philbert Lui

Oscars 2011

The 83rd Annual Academy Awards are tomorrow and the class of films from 2010 far surpasses the lineup from last year’s Oscars. Not only do all the films from the inflated 10 Best Picture nominees deserve to be nominated, but they also lack the scrutiny of controversy we saw last year. Need I remind you of The Blind Side’s unexplainable seat in the Best Picture category, and the even more baffling win of Sandra Bullock for Best Actress.

However, we return this season with an abundance of great stories of fiction and non-fiction alike with little to no controversy, or so they say. There were many snubs this year, and rightfully so, seeing that great collection of films there were this year. Without delay, here are our Banana Oscar Predictions 2011:

Melissa Leo

Best Supporting Actress:

Banana’s Choice – Melissa Leo as Alice Ward

Winner – Melissa Leo

Dark Banana – Hailee Steinfeld as Mattie Ross

Opening the night of the ceremony would be the supporting cast awards, and Melissa Leo has a pretty firm grip on this one. Although Leo’s castmate, Amy Adams, also gave a memorable and feisty performance, Leo as Alice Ward convinced the audience that she can truly embody a powerful mother who has a posse of 8 children as an intimidating entourage. However, if the academy were swooned enough, the dark horse (or banana) would definitely be Hailee Steinfeld’s debut performance in True Grit. If this was not her first film, she would have been easily been nominated in the Best Actress category.

Christian Bale

Best Supporting Actor:

Banana’s Choice – Christian Bale as Dicky Eklund

Winner – Christian Bale

Dark Banana – Geoffrey Rush as Lionel Logue

It is safe to say that the supporting cast of The Fighter drove the film into greatness. Surrounding the mediocre and quiet performance of their lead in Mark Walhberg, was a brilliant cast of actors who commanded the film from the sides. Much like his former castmate, the brilliant late Heath Ledger two years ago, Christian Bale is without a doubt set to win this Oscar. There isn’t really a dark horse in this category, but if there was an incomprehensible twist of fate, I would choose Geoffrey Rush in The King’s Speech as the underdog.

The King's Speech

Best Original Screenplay:

Banana’s Choice – The King’s Speech

Winner – The King’s Speech

Dark Banana – The Kids Are All Right

A stunning script and a brilliant film. Not only did the screenplay bore a great true tale, but the back story of its writer David Seidler, shows that he is even more worthy of this award. Suffering a stutter in his speech much like King George VI, Seidler aspired to write this tale of his former king but was denied by Queen Mary to make the film until after she passed. Through patience and perseverance to be heard despite having a speech impediment, this screenplay is more than worthy.

The Social Network

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Banana’s Choice – The Social Network

Winner – The Social Network

Dark Banana – 127 Hours

The Social Network was an extremely well crafted story written by the brilliance of Aaron Sorkin. Told through different points in time of a group of young aspiring entrepreneurs, this tale is a generation-defining narrative that would be a staple in our modern society so long as Facebook exists. I have been comparing The Social Network to The Dark Knight ever since I watched it (twice). It may be a stretch of a comparison to most, but I stick by it. In The Dark Knight, if you took away the name “Batman” and “The Joker”, what remains is still a masterpiece of modern crime drama. The same goes with The Social Network. Subtract the global Internet phenomena that redefined social interaction for decades to come, “Facebook”, what you are left with is still a dramatic tale of betrayal and friendship between brilliant young minds who aimed for greatness.

Best Animated Feature Film:

Banana’s Choice – Toy Story 3

Winner – Toy Story 3

Dark Banana – None

There is no contest here. There was a brief point in time last year, before Toy Story 3 was released that I thought How To Train Your Dragon was Dreamworks’ ticket to edging out Pixar this year. But I was gladly wrong.

Natalie Portman

Best Actress:

Banana’s Choice – Natalie Portman as Nina Sayers

Winner – Natalie Portman

Dark Banana – Annette Bening as Nic

Natalie Portman’s work in Black Swan was her best dramatic performance to date, and it clearly shows. Enduring the notoriously demanding productions of director Daron Aronofsky, Portman’s commitment to this role is staggering. Her preparation of weight loss and ballet training a year leading up to filming is truly evident throughout the entire movie. It is hard to pinpoint whether she had any stand-ins at all. Moreover, her transformation from being the innocent pushover to the insane perfectionist was a true embodiment of a white swan evolving into the black swan. Annette Bening makes a run for her money, but Natalie has got this one down.

James Franco

Best Actor:

Banana’s Choice – James Franco as Aron Ralston

Winner – Colin Firth as Prince Albert/King George VI

Dark Banana – James Franco

A lot of critics and writers are fairly confident that Colin Firth is set to win Best Actor, but I believe James Franco’s performance has a good chance at pulling an upset towards the end of tomorrow night. As great of a performance as Colin Firth gave, James Franco did something that was unconventional. Even within the historic confines of The King’s Speech, the film was made with full intention of making the audience ‘feel good’. It was a triumphant story that connected with the majority but it has been seen before. Franco’s story, although also about perseverance, he made us believe for a large part of the film that he was not going to make it. I believe the critics are also weighing the more evident supporting cast and commercial success of The King’s Speech in comparison to 127 Hours. But as the sole lead, I think James Franco gave a louder and leading performance.

Best Director:

Banana’s Choice – David Fincher in The Social Network

Winner – David Fincher

Dark Banana – Tom Hooper in The King’s Speech

Sidestepping from his usual serial killer film and backwards-aging epic, David Fincher surpasses expectation and brought forth a film that would set that standard for the modern digital age. As we progress further into the 21st century, more stories revolving around the facets of the Internet will emerge and The Social Network will be there to guide emerging filmmakers in creating those narratives. This is not to say there will be an abundance of futuristic films to come, but more present-day films will arise to keep up with our ever-growing digital age. And mere years from now, when we look back at how much has changed with cinema within the last decade, I believe we will see David Fincher and The Social Network as a major catalyst. Might I add that Christopher Nolan got snubbed in this category.

Best Picture:

Banana’s Choice – The Social Network

Winner – The Social Network

Dark Banana – The King’s Speech

Again, critics are raving for The King’s Speech to take home the big one. But to be blunt, don’t we have enough films about the British monarchy? Many say that the academy will lean towards The King’s Speech due to the majority of its members being older, but they will see pass the historic and focus on the present, which is The Social Network. The emotional period classic no longer has its power over the academy as it used to. Looking back on the Best Pictures of previous years, the academy have chosen modern day films to win with The Hurt Locker, Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men, The Departed over historic pieces such as Inglorious Basterds, The Reader, There Will Be Blood, The Queen etc. And with a relevant and generation-defining film such as The Social Network, I believe the exception will not happen this year.

-phibz.

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The Social Network

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The Golden Globes are BALLS! – Predictions

Posted on 14 January 2011 by Philbert Lui

The 2010-2011 Golden Globe Awards are on this weekend, and I think the title of this post sums up what I have to say about this year’s nominations. The Golden Globes are BALLS!

Being an avid wannabe moviegoer and an aspiring filmmaker who thoroughly believes in cinematic magic, I hate to admit that the film industry could be politically motivated or just plain rigged. The Golden Globes continue to display questionable nomination after questionable nomination, furthering themselves from their goal of being on the same level as the Oscars. I think it’s time someone bought the Hollywood Foreign Press an English dictionary so they can look up the word “comedy” and find out its literal definition.

Best Motion Picture – Drama:

Nominees – Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The King’s Speech, The Social Network

This category makes the most sense to me. Granted that films like 127 Hours and True Grit could be considered as well, but this is a solid lineup of dramatic films. The rest of the categories, I’m not so sure.

My Pick: The Social Network / Reality Pick: The King’s Speech or Inception

It may not be an accurate depiction of the lives of the creators of Facebook, but it was one hell of a movie. It was like The Dark Knight in a way. If you took out the name “Batman” or “Joker” as the primary hero and villain, The Dark Knight would still be a masterpiece of a crime drama. Same with The Social Network. Take out the name “Facebook” as the Internet phenomenon, an excellent dramatic film still remains. Due to their non-American production (The King’s Speech) and high gross (Inception), these two films might actually take the win. You know how the Globes are; they gave it to Avatar last year.

The Social Network

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Nominees – Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice), Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole), Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone), Natalie Portman (Black Swan), Michelle Willians (Blue Valentine)

My Pick: Natalie Portman / Reality Pick: Natalie Portman

Although Nicole Kidman evidently shows that she’s still got her dramatic acting chops, and the surprising breakout performance by Jennifer Lawrence, I think Natalie Portman has a pretty tight grip on this one. Judging by her amazing performance in Black Swan and less critical press about the other nominees, I’m confident that she’d take the Globe and the Oscar.

Natalie Portman

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Nominees – Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network), Colin Firth (The King’s Speech), James Franco (127 Hours), Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine), Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)

My Pick: James Franco / Reality Pick: Colin Firth

All good picks except Mark Wahlberg, whom I think is a filler pick, and I have a feeling he will appear again as a filler pick when the Oscars come. The ones that stood out the most for me were James Franco and Colin Firth’s performances. Jesse Eisenberg played a great asshole version of Mark Zuckerberg (or a lesser asshole) but I still could not see past his type-casted, stereotyped self. James Franco is my favorite to win because of his ability to make it feel like 127 hours, when the film lasted less than two. I’m betting that he would be the first host of the Oscars ever to win. Colin Firth is a very close second and also his best performance yet.

James Franco

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical:

Nominees – Alice In Wonderland, Burlesque, The Kids Are All Right, Red, The Tourist

My Pick: The Kids Are All Right / Reality Pick: Who gives a f***!

This is where shit hits the fan. This is what gives the movie industry a bad rep. Let’s start at the top shall we:
Alice In Wonderland. This movie is only passable to be nominated in this category because of its musical background and whimsical nature. Fine, I accept that, barely.
Burlesque. Technically, it is a musical. But regular movie folks should know it is definitely not awards worthy. The only other musical released this year was the animated “Tangled”, which much more deserves a nomination than this Cher-like mess.
The Kids Are Alright. The most deserving nomination in this category and should be the rightful winner. The ensemble cast blends effortlessly together in this underrated independent film exploring the complexities of lesbian parents, surrogate fathers, and (no pun intended) a modern American family.
Red. Marketed as an action-comedy but it wasn’t that funny. Want a comic book movie that covers “comedy” and “musical”? Scott Pilgrim VS The World! I would think this would be an obvious choice. It is truly disappointing that it was not seen by more people.
The Tourist. F*** it. The most bullsh** nomination I have ever seen.

In my ideal world, these should be the nominations:

Get Him To The GreekI Love You Philip MorrisScott Pilgrim VS The WorldThe Kids Are AlrightToy Story 3

And Toy Story 3 would win it by miles. I think Toy Story 3, I Love You Philip Morris and The Kids Are Alright have a shot at Best Picture nominations when the Oscars come. I can even list a few more films as honorable mentions to show how messed up the nominations for this category are: Easy A, Despicable Me, Date Night, Due Date, How To Train Your Dragon, Kick Ass, Tangled

The Kids Are All Right

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical:

Nominees – Annette Bening (The Kids Are Alright), Anne Hathaway (Love & Other Drugs), Angelina Jolie (The Tourist), Julianne Moore (The Kids Are Alright), Emma Stone (Easy A)

My Pick: Julianne Moore / Reality Pick: Again, who gives?

Anne Hathaway and Angelina Jolie both don’t deserve to be on that list. Granted, this is a very tough category to nominate for, as funny actresses are rare these days. I won’t rant more on the disaster that is The Tourist being in any of the comedic categories. But I will say that Julianne Moore should win this category because she was the centerpiece that made The Kids Are All Right such a delight to watch. She could get an Oscar nomination with Bening getting one for Supporting Actress. To fill in the rest of the nominations, I would choose Tina Fey (Date Night) and Rachel McAdams (Morning Glory) for the heck of it.

Julianne Moore

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical:

Nominees – Johnny Depp (Alice In Wonderland & The Tourist), Paul Giamatti (Barney’s Version), Jake Gyllenhaal (Love & Other Drugs), Kevin Spacey (Casino Jack)

My Pick: Kevin Spacey / Reality Pick: PROBABLY Johnny Depp…

Like the previous category, Johnny Depp from The Tourist and Jake Gyllenhaal is a frustrating mystery on this list. Although Casino Jack was a weak film adapted from real life, Kevin Spacey performed well as Jack Abramoff and carried the messy film all on his own. Other possible nominees that would have made more sense: Russel Brand and Jonah Hill (Get Him To The Greek).

Kevin Spacey

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture:

Nominees – Amy Adams (The Fighter), Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech), Mila Kunis (Black Swan), Melissa Leo (The Fighter), Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

My Pick: Melissa Leo / Reality Pick: Amy Adams

I think the press would give the award to Amy Adams because her role is hierarchically less of a supporting character than Melissa Leo’s character. But in terms of performance, Leo definitely made her presence more evident than the Amy Adams. I would undoubtedly nominate Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) over the Helena Bonham Carter and Mila Kunis due to her prodigy-like breakout performance in her first major film.

Melissa Leo

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture:

Nominees – Christian Bale (The Fighter), Michael Douglas (Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps), Andrew Garfield (The Social Network), Jeremy Renner (The Town), Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)

My Pick: Christian Bale / Reality Pick: Christian Bale

Christian Bale takes this award and the Oscars by a mile weeks before any nomination lists were released. Much like how Heath Ledger stole the film with his spellbinding performance in The Dark Knight, Bale stole The Fighter and made it seem like more of a Dick Ecklund film rather than a Mickey Ward film. Irony at its finest. Michael Douglas seems like a filler nomination or a sympathy vote, as offensive as that sounds. Ewan McGregor would have been a more fitting nomination from I Love You Philip Morris.

Christian Bale

The Rest:

For Best Director, I would be content if either Darren Aronofsky or David Fincher wins. Both executed their creative leadership respectively in the constructs of two very different films. Aronofsky, the indie film genius, does it again with limited resources and pushed everyone’s performances to their best. Fincher morphs a near-perfect script and a group of young talent into a film about the one of the most significant inventions of the Internet age. I would argue that Danny Boyle should also be as deserving a nomination for his unique and true depiction of Aron Ralston’s death-defying story.

As for Best Screenplay, I would have 127 Hours and The Social Network as the leaders of the pack, but with Aaron Sorkin’s genius writing to win it all, even the Oscar. Due to his screenplay, as inaccurate as it might be, it highlights very relevant current events and people and what can be seen as a device that is changing the way people live in the world. Also because of Sorkin and Fincher, Mark Zuckerberg was named TIME’s Person Of The Year. The Social Network goes beyond film, into politics, and into people’s personal lives.

It is inevitable that Toy Story 3 would win Best Animated Film. I had a pretty confident thought that Dreamworks would finally take it back from Pixar this year when How To Train Your Dragon first came out in March. Boy was I very wrong in June when TS3 was released.

As for television…

Breaking Bad not being nominated for Best TV Drama is a sin. Dexter being nominated on the other hand is an even bigger sin, with their poorest season yet. How the Globes find Glee and Nurse Jackie to be more comedic than clearly the best show on TV this Fall/Winter, Community, is light-years beyond me. Julia Stiles in Dexter was a very unlikable character, and another anomaly of a nomination. And last but not least, Scott Caan nominated for his role in Hawaii Five-0?! I vote Donald Glover to replace his nomination spot immediately.

As I stated in the title of this post, this year more than any year before, the Golden Globes have demonstrated their lack of creative criticism, their politically steered intentions, and overall ridiculousness. Yes. This year more than ever, the Golden Globes are BALLS! Let’s hope the Oscars are better.

-phibz.

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